The forecast track of the tropical wave currently being monitored by the T&T Met Service and the National Hurricane Centre. (Image courtesy NHC)

KALAIN HOSEIN

The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS) has been closely monitoring an active tropical wave in the Atlantic, with the leading edge now approximately 1,100 km east of the Lesser Antilles.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has given this tropical disturbance a low chance of development over the next 48 hours, at 20%, and keeping development chances low at 30% through the next five days. According to the NHC, this system presently is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

The system is moving towards the west near 25 KM/H. The latest analyses indicate that on the projected track, it should begin moving across the Eastern Caribbean islands on Sunday, August 30th, 2020. However, most of the active weather (stronger winds, heavier rainfall) is forecast to remain north of Trinidad and Tobago, generally affecting the Northern Windward Islands and the Leewards, as of the latest model guidance.

The TTMS says it will continue to monitor this system closely and will issue an update at 9:00 AM tomorrow (Saturday) or earlier, if the situation warrants.

We are into the peak of the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season (mid-August to late October), and we have already had 13 named storms.

The latest system became Category 4 Hurricane Laura, which made landfall on southwestern Louisiana on August 27th with sustained winds of 240 KM/H.

An average hurricane season produces 12 named storms. The next name on the list of names for the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season is Nana.