The following is a press release from the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service:
The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS) is predicting above-normal tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the Area of Interest (AoI) for Trinidad and Tobago, during the 2020 hurricane season, June to November. The AoI is the waters to the east of Trinidad and Tobago, spanning the area south of 15o north latitude, between the Eastern Caribbean and West Africa.
The TTMS seasonal hurricane forecast shows an 85% chance for above-normal, a 13% chance for near-normal and a 2% chance for below-normal tropical cyclone activity in the area of interest for Trinidad and Tobago. The TTMS is predicting that the most likely number of named tropical storms (winds of at least 34 knots/39 mph) to occur in the Area of Interest during the June to November period is 6, with an 85% chance that the number will be in the range of 4 to 8 named storms. The 1981-2010 long-term average for the AoI is 3. The most likely number of hurricanes (winds of at least 64 knots/74 mph) predicted to occur in the AoI during the June to November period is 2, with an 85% chance that the number will be in the range of 1 to 3. The 1981-2010 long-term average is 1.