Covid-19 infections in T&T are rising, and I predict that the number of deaths will rise as well. Some time ago, I wrote about how ‘stupidity kills’.

Now, before I am misunderstood and people think that I am advocating for an increase in the death rate, I have said nothing of the sort. I am pointing out that this will happen. Why? It is in inevitable when people run around without social distancing, without using facemasks, without frequent hand washing and using hand sanitisers, and taking other advised precautions.

The Covid count is now over 500.

· in less than a week there were over 200 new infections;

· new cases were previously in contact with known infection cases;

· the death rate is increasing;

· the number hospitalised is increasing;

· capacity at the hospitals is not increasing, meaning the number of beds available remains the same;

· somewhere, somehow, before too long bed capacity has to increase, given the rate of new infections.

What is more worrying is is known if one takes the time to do a little research – can be even more dangerous:

· people lie – and since they do not admit that they have been in contact with others, track and trace will never be 100 per cent accurate;

· we know from statistics available from other countries that roughly 16 per cent to 20 per cent of infections remain untraceable – this is a startlingly high figure;

· we know that there may be asymptomatic carriers, further complicating spread;

· we know now that anyone can be infected – the death rate may be higher among the elderly and ill, but even children and young healthy people are susceptible;

· even healthy people can suffer for months after an active infection, because viruses can do a lot of harm to the body;

· nothing stops an infected person from being re-infected, multiple times;

· the highly transmittable nature of this virus makes it unlikely that it will disappear any time soon;

· if you go out, and you return home, you can have the virus on your clothing – hand washing alone cannot keep infections from spreading. You may need to shower and change clothing as soon as you get home;

· you may also need to sanitise your home on a daily basis;

· society must be prepared to live with this for the next few years at least;

· life will never again be “normal” as we knew it;

· many businesses will collapse, and others will suffer;

· the economy will adjust but will probably never be as vibrant as it was in the past;

· the winners will be people who adopt and adapt to some type of remote trading, following the Amazon model;

· the laxness that people display when socialising has to be changed – beach and river limes, rum shops and bars, restaurants and fast-food takeaways can no longer afford to maintain high density traffic;

· large gatherings are certainly not recommended – remember the idiocy that prevailed during election campaigning when thousands of people ignored social distancing and basic precautions such as wearing facemasks.

I take no joy in being the harbinger of bad news… But it is what it is. Infections and deaths will continue to rise and stupidity will remain the cause.

Mohan Ramcharan

Birmingham, England

via email